Until few hours ago, the Modi government was looking rock solid with 22 states in its kitty and surging ahead in the states where it never got an opportunity to rule. But suddenly, everything is going against the Modi government after the Andhra Pradesh CM Chandrababu Naidu succeeded in his conspiracy.
Mr Naidu has not just withdrawn his support to the NDA, but has also demanded no-confidence motion against the government. Speaker Sumitra Mahajan has adjourned the Lob Sabha to Monday due to certain parties created ruckus and that’s why has got 72 vital hours….Yes, 72 vital hours to gather and protect all its MPs at the time of no-confidence motion.
What is a no-confidence motion?
The official website of Indian Parliament says, a Confidence or no-confidence motion can only be moved in Lok Sabha and passed by it. The Rajya Sabha does not have a procedure for moving of an adjournment motion, censure motion or no-confidence motion against the Government.
If the motion of no-confidence is passed with a majority, then the Modi government needs t vacate the office. Shocked, yes this is the reality. And to some extent, the Modi government is in danger.
Yes, it true that BJP doesn’t have majority!
In the year 2014, BJP had clear majority by winning 282 seats. Without any party’s help, BJP had crossed the majority mark. But now the scenario has entirely toppled and it is true that BJP is not having majority seats and this has put the Modi government on the backfoot.
Now, this is where the Congress has come into the play because after the 2014 Lob Sabha elections, BJP lost in almost all the Lok Sabha by-polls and as of now, BJP is having only 274 Lob Sabha seats. To add to the woe, there are two rebel MPs- Kirti Azad and Shatrughan Sinha- who will definitely embrace Congress.
For the first time, PM Modi is seeing a no-confidence motion! Is it a reason to worry? What the number game indicate? Is BJP short of majority?
Almost all the political rivals of Mr Narendra Modi have realized that if he is let to continue for one more term, then definitely there won’t be a thing called opposition (if not, surely, Congress Mukt Bharat). So realizing the threat of Mr Modi, all the political parties have thrown their political indifference and ideologies aside and have decided to suppress the Modi factor.
Now, let us see what the numbers say!
“Everything is fair in politics”, is the motto of the anti-Modi brigade. That’s why, once a hardcore hindutva party, Shiv Sena is more likely to vote against the BJP. It is sad on part for democracy that BJP needs to prove its majority once again.
Congress, TDP, YSR Congress, CPI(M), Mamata Banerjee’s TMC, Assaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM have already declared that they are in favour of TDP’s no-confidence motion. As the Shiv Sena has announced to go solo for the 2019 General Elections, it is expected that even this party will vote against BJP. No need to speak up on Lalu Yadav’s RJD, and Mulayam Singh’s SP.
Letter of YSR Congress Party MP YV Subba Reddy to Lok Sabha Secretary-General for moving motion on ‘No-Confidence in the Council of Ministers’ in the house!
Monday, 19th March, judgement day for the BJP!
But, as of now, there is no need of worrying for the BJP government as there are several other parties that will support the Modi government. As the BJP has got 72 hours to formulate strategies, it is expected that BJP may issue a whip asking everyone to be present on the floor if no-confidence motion is passed.
“With the BJP alone having 274 members in the 536-member Lok Sabha and enjoying the support of allies, the no-confidence motion, if accepted, is certain to be defeated but it has the potential to put the saffron party in a tight corner in the state”, said a report.