Politics

Only “Today’s Chanakya” predicted 2014 General elections right!!! Do you know what it said about Gujarat elections?

When all the mainstream media said that it was tough for Mr Narendra Modi led NDA to form a government in the center in 2014 general elections, it was only “Today’s Chanakya” who said that NDA will easily form the government.

Gujarat Assembly Elections 2017 – Post Poll Analysis

Gujarat Seat Projection

Party Vote 2012 Seat 2012 Vote 2017(Forecast) Seats 2017 (Forecast)
BJP 47.9% 115 49% ± 3% 135 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
Congress+ 38.9% 61 38% ± 3% 47 ± 11 (Plus / Minus 11) Seats
Others 13.2% 6 13% ± 3% 0 ± 3 (Plus / Minus 3) Seats

 

BJP is going to have a whopping victory in the state of Gujarat according to Today’s Chanakya. In various elections,it was only their survey was accurate.

Analysis on Gujarat!!!

1. What had an influence in deciding on your voting pattern?
Political Party & Candidate : 34%
Development : 35%
GST : 18%
Any other : 7%

2. Do you want a change of government in the state?
Yes : 31%
No : 58%

3. How will you rate the working of present CM?
Good : 29%
Average : 34%
Poor : 25%

(Note: In above 1, 2, & 3 total is not 100% because balance is Cant Say / Don’t want to say)

4. Gujarat- How major caste is moving in this election

BJP Congress+ Others
Patel 54% 37% 5%
Forward Caste 58% 32% 7%
ST 52% 35% 8%
Muslim 11% 81% 2%
SC 41% 46% 7%
OBC 53% 30% 10%

 

Note for Caste figures:

1. The total is not 100% because balance is DNT
2. Margin of Error is ± 3% (Plus / Minus 3%) in caste figures

Exit polls from other media

 Channels BJP Congress Others
Times Now  109  70  03
Republic TV  108  74  00
 CNN IBN  109  70  03
 India Today  99-113  68-82  1-4
 India News  110-120  65-75  02-04
 News 18  108  74  
 ABP-CSDS  117  64  01
 VDP Associates  143  37  

https://twitter.com/rishibagree/status/941302760389013504

What “Times Of India” Online-CVoter exit poll forecasted on Gujarat elections?

The BJP is set to retain power in Gujarat for the fifth consecutive term. These predictions are based on polling till 2 pm in the second phase of the Gujarat assembly election. The saffron party is likely to secure 108 seats in the 182-member state assembly, with the Congress and its allies finishing a distant second with 74 seats.

What are the factors that are benefitting BJP?

BJP will hugely garner the votes of minorities, especially of the Muslim women. Triple Talaq has helped BJP to penetrate into Muslim vote base which was previously held by Congress party. The Muslim women are had inclined towards BJP this time. Women of Gujarat, especially rural women, were seen voting massively for PM Modi’s BJP for UJJWALA & Jan Dhan scheme.

Hardik Patel and gang has made no impact in Gujarat!!!

Even though the three young leaders –Hardik Patel, Alpesh Thakore and Jignesh Mewani- have been successful in breaching the vote base of BJP, the last minute blunders of these three helped the BJP. After secretly meeting Rahul Gandhi and Robert Vadra in a five-star hotel, the trust of Patidar Community on Hardik Patel was lost. Alpesh Thakore spoilt his reputation with his “imported mushroom” gaffe where he alleged that PM Modi consumed imported mushroom worth Rs 4 lakh daily (One mushroom cost Rs 80,000). The adopted son of Gauri Lankesh, Mr Jignesh Mewani was exposed after he received funds from pro-terror outfits.

Himachal Pradesh also goes to BJP, but win a huge margin!!!

Himachal Pradesh Seat Projection

Party Vote 2012 Seat 2012 Vote 2017(Forecast) Seats 2017 (Forecast)
BJP 38.5% 26 51% ± 3% 55 ± 7 (Plus / Minus 7) Seats
Congress 42.8% 36 38% ± 3% 13 ± 7 (Plus / Minus 7) Seats
Others 18.7% 6 11% ± 3% 0 ± 3 (Plus / Minus 3) Seats

 

Himachal Pradesh- How major caste is moving in this election

BJP Congress Others
Brahmin 50% 34% 10%
Rajput 56% 32% 8%
SC 48% 43% 7%
ST 51% 40% 5%
OBC 52% 41% 4%

Accurate exit poll from Postcard News!!! Congress is gaining in the Gujarat elections but……………


Hansika Raj

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